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Recent Picks (Last 14 days) — AI said these have juice -
Conf 80%
Score 0.880
12/05/2025
WBD Target Hit
Risk Score
58
Horizon1d
Entry24.80-25.20
Exit25.90-26.70
Expected Gains6.00%
Stop23.90
Rationale:

Ticker: WBD Play: Riding the Netflix-buyout hype train like it’s the last chopper out of the content wars. Thesis for degenerates: - The headlines all but scream that Netflix is in exclusive talks to slap an 83B-sized ring on Warner Bros. Discovery. That’s not rumor, that’s full-on corporate situationship. - Stock already went nuclear (+100%+ in a few months) and just printed new 52-week highs, but volume is huge and the news is fresh. This is when momentum junkies show up late and still make money. - Social feeds are lighting up: WBD ripped from obscurity into top-10 mention territory basically overnight. That’s exactly when FOMO money pile-drives the ask. Game plan: - YOLO in around 24.8–25.2 on early dips or tight consolidations. If it blasts straight up and never looks back, you missed it, move on. - Aim to unload the bags between 25.9 and 26.7. That’s about 4–8% from the low end of entry if the squeeze and deal hopium kick in. - Nuke the trade if it cracks 23.9 with volume – that means the party’s over or some nasty headline just dropped. No diamond hands through an M&A rug pull. - Be flat by the close. You’re trading the dopamine of intraday deal mania, not auditioning to be a long-term media analyst. Catalyst receipts: - “Warner Bros. Discovery's Buyer Is All But Certain” (SeekingAlpha) basically flexing that WBD moonshot is about who, not if. Link: https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=e0a6cca553a3921892cc49f701f1957179f32d46ee505cf01e41b1977045dbc3 - “Warner Bros. Discovery and Netflix Enter Exclusive Deal Negotiations” (Yahoo) confirming the big kid table talks are happening. Link: https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=424ace7f4ee3a63b1597688df93e4b937f4fe3d983beaeacbbd6aab12f148496 TL;DR: Buy the target of the Netflix mega-buyout while the herd is still stampeding in, grab your 4–8% scalp, and be gone before lawyers and regulators kill the vibe. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 82%
Score 0.950
12/05/2025
DG Active (—)
Risk Score
48
Horizon7d
Entry127.71-129.50
Exit137.00-140.00
Expected Gains8.00%
Stop121.50
Rationale:

Dollar General just nuked the bears: 31.5% operating profit jump, 43.8% net income rip, and a guidance raise while the stock yeets to fresh 52‑week highs. Price is 127.71 sitting miles above every moving average (10‑day SMA 108.08, 20‑day 104.96, 50‑day 102.94) with a juiced MACD (3.28 vs 1.41 signal) and a fat 1.87 histogram screaming full send. RSI at 82.38? That’s not overbought, that’s over‑owned – everyone who shorted the dollar store recession trade is getting margin‑called. Shorts are still stubborn with 11.64M shares short, 4.02 days‑to‑cover, and an elevated short‑volume ratio north of 56%, but the squeeze_score is 65 and the ratio is rolling over, meaning ammo for a grind‑up as they tap out one by one. You’re buying a guidance‑raised earnings monster at all‑time highs while the crowd still doubts it. Set a stop just under 122, aim for high‑130s in a week, and let Todd Vasos pay for your holiday shopping. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 78%
Score 0.880
12/04/2025
SNOW Lost
Risk Score
48
Horizon1d
Entry240.50-243.50
Exit251.00-256.00
Expected Gains5.50%
Stop234.50
Rationale:

Snowflake just nuked 8% after beating earnings and now every analyst on the street is screaming BUY while shorts are still leaning 60%+ into the tape. Translation: the algos over‑panicked on guidance vibes, and now we’ve got a fat dip sitting right on the $240s with bullish MACD, neutral RSI, and a ton of fuel from elevated short interest. Game plan: load SNOW calls (or shares if you’re civilized) around 240–243, ride the post‑earnings regret pump back toward the 50‑day and 20‑day MAs around 251–256, and bail before the close. Risk ~2.5% to make 4–6% if this turns into a classic earnings‑flush‑then‑rip. If buyers don’t show and it slices under 235, we’re out — no diamond hands, just disciplined degeneracy riding the analyst‑upgrade wave while shorts get squeezed. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 82%
Score 0.950
12/04/2025
CAPR Active (—)
Risk Score
73
Horizon7d
Entry26.47-28.50
Exit34.00-38.00
Expected Gains35.00%
Stop22.50
Rationale:

This thing just went from literal penny‑stock purgatory (4s) to 40 on Duchenne data and the hedgie shorts are still in denial. You’ve got RSI at 92.9 screaming “overbought,” but in squeeze land that just means the party started yesterday. MACD histogram at 1.64 with a bullish_momentum tag, while price is miles above every moving average (10‑day SMA 7.99, 9‑day EMA 10.59) – you’re not buying a gentle trend, you’re riding a rocket that paused to refuel. Short interest is 14.15M shares with 7.9 days to cover and short volume north of 55% on 25.8M shares traded – that’s a lot of stubborn non‑believers about to get margin‑called if CAPR even twitches up. You’re stepping in around 26‑28 after a flush from the 40.37 high, aiming for a chaotic rip back into the 30s once fast money realizes this isn’t just another biotech head fake. Tighten your helmet, respect the stop in the low 20s, and let the FDA‑data squeeze circus do the heavy lifting. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 80%
Score 0.880
12/03/2025
MRVL Expired
Risk Score
53
Horizon1d
Entry98.80-100.20
Exit103.30-105.00
Expected Gains5.50%
Stop95.50
Rationale:

MRVL just dropped banger earnings AND bought an AI chip rocket (Celestial AI), and the market is already yeeting it higher. Volume hot, apes are awake, and the chart looks like it found the turbo button. Game plan: slap calls? Nah, just send common shares. - Scoop the dip between $98.8–$100.2. - Target a moonwalk to $103.3–$105 before close. - Kill switch at $95.5 if the AI dream turns into a memory leak. Why this ticker? - Articles literally calling it the "next AI infrastructure cornerstone" after smashing Q3. - Social feeds cranking MRVL up the rankings – more eyeballs = more volume = more tendies. - MACD and RSI both saying "up only" without full overbought nosebleed yet. You’re basically riding the second leg of an AI-earnings hype train. Respect the stop, scale out into strength, and don’t marry the chip stock – this is a same-day fling. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 82%
Score 0.940
12/03/2025
MRVL Active (—)
Risk Score
49
Horizon10d
Entry98.62-102.00
Exit110.00-114.00
Expected Gains12.00%
Stop93.50
Rationale:

MRVL just ripped off an earnings nuke and stapled a $5B+ Celestial AI deal on top, and the chart looks like it finally drank the same AI Kool‑Aid as NVDA. You’ve got price at 98.615 blasting miles above the dusty boomer averages (sma_10_days 84.24599999999999, sma_20_days 86.82550000000006, ema_9_days 87.47192057144675), and MACD is screaming green (macd_line 0.624953616623074 vs macd_signal -0.178362175494968, histogram 0.803315792118042, state “bullish_momentum”). RSI 60.01414923895407 says we’re in beast mode but not meme‑top yet. News feed is pure AI copium – “Next AI Infrastructure Cornerstone,” Q3 beat, Celestial AI solving data‑center bottlenecks – all the buzzwords hedgies FOMO into. Social mentions ranking jumping from 59 to 5 means the crowd just woke up and is piling in. Shorts aren’t crazy elevated (days_to_cover 2.29, squeeze_score 25), so this is less YOLO squeeze and more real money rotation. Buy the breakout above 98.6, aim for 110+ while the AI hype train is still loading passengers, cut it under 93.5 if the algos rug you. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 78%
Score 0.830
12/02/2025
SNPS Target Hit
Risk Score
32.25
Horizon1d
Entry444.50-447.00
Exit463.00-470.00
Expected Gains5.20%
Stop435.00
Rationale:

SNPS just woke up and is ripping back over its 50-day like it remembered it’s an AI-adjacent chip-design boss, not some forgotten boomer ticker. Price is already up almost 5% and MACD just flipped from dumpster-fire negative toward full send, with a fat green histogram screaming momentum. RSI isn’t even cooked yet, so there’s room for more face-melting candles. Shorts cranked up to almost 60% of yesterday’s volume, trying to fade this bounce. If the open holds above the 440s, those shorts are basically dry tinder for a squeeze toward the mid-460s/470. Game plan: buy the 444.5–447 zone near the open, ride the AI/EDA hype and risk-on futures flow, and start unloading bags around 463+ with dreams of 470 if the Nasdaq behaves. Bail hard at 435 if it nukes the 50-day – no diamond hands if the trend fails. This is not a YOLO lottery ticket – more like a controlled intraday heist aiming to jack 4–6% from the machines before the bell rings. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 82%
Score 0.960
12/02/2025
CRDO Lost
Risk Score
53
Horizon7d
Entry209.50-214.00
Exit230.00-238.00
Expected Gains12.00%
Stop195.00
Rationale:

AI cables are hot, and Credo just told Wall Street they’re basically firehoses into the datacenter money printer. Revenue up 272% YoY and Q3 guide at +159% is the kind of hypergrowth that makes boomers mumble about valuation while momentum funds hit the buy button with both hands. The chart is screaming melt‑up: price at 209.47 with the 10‑day SMA way back at 151.30 and the 9‑day EMA at 159.00 is what a rocket looks like after liftoff. MACD isn’t just bullish, it’s feral – line 2.21 vs signal -0.16, histogram 2.37, classic launch‑phase signature. Shorts are bravely trying to fade the AI bubble with 7,867,821 shares short and a short_volume_ratio over 60%, but that’s just tinder if this keeps squeezing. Social ranking ripped from 136 to 27 in a day, so attention is stampeding in right as we break 52‑week highs (210.00). The plan: buy slightly above last trade, ride the panic‑buying and forced covering into the 230s, and bail before the valuation autists start writing 20‑page DCF takedowns. Tight stop under 195 in case Mr. Market decides your AI connectivity stonk is actually just wires and hopes. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 81%
Score 0.930
12/01/2025
SYM Lost
Risk Score
46
Horizon7d
Entry84.70-86.50
Exit94.00-98.00
Expected Gains12.00%
Stop79.50
Rationale:

Robots plus Walmart plus a $22.5B backlog? That’s not a stock, that’s a conveyor belt printing tendies. SYM just ripped to $84.6322, living at 52-week-high altitude while the boomers are still arguing about whether warehouse automation is a real business. The 10/20/50-day SMAs (63.414999999999999, 67.50549999999998, 65.99080000000004) and EMAs (70.08616021942865, 67.36565751092597, 64.39514499538653) are miles below the current price, which means anyone waiting for a cute "pullback" already missed the train and is now chasing the truck on foot. RSI at 65.01436884284115 says strong but not face-melting overbought, while MACD is blasting (line 1.6420127186533762 vs signal -0.7722065445325494, histogram 2.4142192631859256) like a forklift doing donuts in the loading dock. Shorts? 12.9M shares with 6.35 days to cover and shrinking short-volume ratios mean they’re slowly realizing betting against Walmart’s robot army was a terrible idea. I’m buying above $84.7, aiming for mid-90s, and if it snaps $88, this can squeeze further while the rest of the market is still talking about "valuation." Not financial advice, just following the robots to Valhalla. Translate to Human Speak

Conf 82%
Score 0.860
11/28/2025
CME Expired
Risk Score
43.23
Horizon1d
Entry280.90-282.00
Exit293.00-296.00
Expected Gains4.80%
Stop275.00
ActionHOLD
Rationale:

CME just rage-quit the entire futures market over a data center cooling oopsie and is now flicking the "back on" switch right before the bell. Every ETF, currency nerd, and macro degen has been watching this mess all night, and the stock is sitting right under its highs with social mentions going absolutely nuclear. Game plan: buy the drama, sell the relief. Snag shares around 280.9–282 once regular trading kicks in and the Globex restart headlines are in full swing. You’re betting that when 90% of their volume machine comes back online, the market shrugs off the glitch and rips the stock toward 293–296 as everyone piles back into their favorite casino operator. Why this can print: - Headlines are blasting: they halted trading, broke the plumbing, then patched it up before cash open. That’s pure, concentrated volatility – exactly what you want for a day-trade pump. - Stock’s already in an uptrend, all the cute moving averages are stacked below price, and RSI says "strong but not cooked". - Shorts quietly ramped up (days-to-cover ~2.8 and short volume >65%), so if the outage doesn’t turn into a full-blown fiasco, any relief pop can make late bears squirm. Risk: If any new "systems still busted" headlines drop or volume doesn’t come back like expected, this can reverse hard. That’s why the eject button is 275 – if we crack below the moving-average neighborhood, the thesis is dumpstered and you’re out. Reward side is aiming for a clean 4–5% day-rip and then you’re flat by the close, no hero holds into the weekend. Links you should actually click instead of Twitter: - https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=e2c2958eb5dd635aa6daf6ce3d228c9b58b2ff89eb0fab765358a0fbd4afac69 - https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=8547c9db48d8352e9fe8761cb02282b6527bb219f4942b042dca6752538547c9 Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Trade is live and on-plan as a same-day catalyst long. Filled at 281.44; price is now 282.55, modestly in the green and above all key moving averages. MACD has flipped to bullish momentum with RSI ~61, confirming constructive intraday trend rather than a fade. No stop or target rules have been hit (stop 275 well below, targets 293–296 still overhead), and horizon is intraday so time-based expiry has not triggered yet. Given strong social momentum and improving technicals without any new negative headlines in the feed provided, the original thesis (relief/normalization move post-outage) remains intact. I slightly increase confidence but keep risk parameters unchanged to respect potential headline risk and reversals if liquidity response disappoints later in the session. Stay disciplined: if price accelerates quickly into 293–296, take profits into strength rather than holding for marginal extra upside; if it rolls over and approaches low 276–277, be ready that a flush through 275 invalidates the setup for the day.

Conf 84%
Score 0.960
11/28/2025
AVGO Lost
Risk Score
54.57
Horizon7d
Entry401.23-405.00
Exit430.00-440.00
Expected Gains7.50%
Stop384.00
ActionHOLD
Rationale:

AVGO is the chad overlord of AI silicon right now and the tape knows it. We’re sitting at 401.225000 basically kissing fresh all‑time highs (52‑week high 401.690000 today), and the MACD is absolutely juiced at 6.517515657422962 with a fat 4.1238083308076217 histogram – that’s rocket‑fuel momentum, not some boomer drift. RSI 66.83 is hot but not cooked, which is exactly where you want to hammer calls while the trend bros are still piling in. Price is miles above the ema_9_days 367.1000194283899987 and sma_10_days 356.7589999999999009, so every dip is just shorts getting their faces rearranged. Speaking of, short_volume_ratio just spiked to 56.89% from a 5‑day 46.012% and the squeeze_score_0_100 is 45 with sv_ratio_accelerating true – bears are literally volunteering as exit liquidity into an AI mega‑cap making new highs on glowing headlines about TPU chips and being one of the “4 best stocks to buy right now.” You ride this thing toward 430–440 and bail before the IV crush; if it knifes under ~384, respect the stop and live to gamble another day. Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Trade is filled at 401.64 and price is holding near highs at 400.11 with very strong bullish momentum (MACD rising, bullish histogram, RSI ~68 but not extreme). No stop, target, or time horizon rules have been breached: price remains well above the 384 stop and below the 430–440 target band, and we are still on day 1 of a 7‑day horizon. Trend and AI-related news flow remain supportive; short-volume ratio is elevated and rising, consistent with continued upside pressure. Slight intraday pullback from the highs is normal given the prior extension and RSI level. Maintain the position as planned, but be prepared for increased volatility around these new high levels. No changes to levels at this time; revisit if price accelerates quickly toward the 430 area or if momentum/RSI show signs of exhaustion.

Conf 82%
Score 0.860
11/26/2025
DELL Target Hit
Risk Score
61
Horizon1d
Entry128.50-130.50
Exit134.00-138.00
Expected Gains5.50%
Stop126.50
ActionTIGHTEN_STOP
Exit Max138
Exit Min134
Stop Loss126.5
Horizon Days1
Rationale:

DELL is the boomer box-maker that just discovered AI crack and shorts won’t stop hitting the sell button. Setup: Stock nuked ~22% in a month, now sitting around $129 after earnings, with RSI in the high 30s. Everyone loaded puts and shorted the dip, but Bank of America is still yelling BUY and the news tape is literally saying “Dell stock rises” on earnings. That’s classic oversold + fresh catalyst fuel. Shorts: - Short interest up nearly 40%, 3.25 days to cover, and almost two-thirds of volume is short. Squeeze score at 80 with every warning light flashing. If this starts grinding up after the bell, bag-holding shorts will be the exit liquidity. Play: - YOLO long between $128.5 and $130.5 if it doesn’t gap to the moon. - First take-profit around $134 for a safe 4%+ scalp, then let the rest ride toward $136–$138 if volume rips and AI/tech stay green. - Hard stop at $123.5 — if it flushes down there, the bounce is dead and you don’t want to be the liquidity. You’re basically betting that post-earnings AI hype + a market that wants rate cuts is enough to make shorts panic-cover a name that’s still way off its recent highs. Not a guaranteed face-melter, but the math says 4–6% intraday is very doable if buyers show up. Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Trade is working intraday: last ~$131.90 vs. fill ~$129.11, up ~2.2% with no breach of stop ($123.50) and still below the first target band ($134–$138). RSI has lifted from high‑30s to low‑40s, MACD remains bearish but price is reclaiming short-term EMAs, consistent with a reflex bounce off earnings rather than a failed setup. Social and short metrics continue to support the squeeze/bounce angle. With only a 1‑day horizon and the stock already moving in our favor, the key risk is a midday reversal from overextension rather than thesis failure. Keeping the trade ACTIVE, modestly increasing confidence, and tightening risk to lock some profit if momentum fades.

Conf 90%
Score 0.940
11/26/2025
MU Expired
Risk Score
61
Horizon7d
Entry231.13-236.00
Exit248.00-255.00
Expected Gains8.50%
Stop228.00
ActionHOLD
Exit Max255
Exit Min248
Stop Loss228
Horizon Days7
Rationale:

Memory king MU is literally getting showered with AI tendies forecasts while the chart is just catching its breath. Morgan Stanley just crowned it their “Top Pick,” blasted the price target to $338, and is screaming about "intensifying shortages across the board" in memory. Citi’s still in the bull camp at $275, and MU keeps popping up on every “Hot AI Stocks” and “Best Growth Stocks” list like the teacher’s pet of the semiconductor classroom. Meanwhile the stock is chilling at $231.13, miles above its 50-day EMA at 203.83 and 50-day SMA at 204.0004, which means the trend is your friend and the friend is rich. MACD histogram is red and ugly (-4.53, bearish_momentum), which here just means we’re buying the dip while everyone else second-guesses a monster AI-cycle uptrend. Shorts are creeping in with si_rising=true and short_volume_ratio ramping to 44.08% versus a 36.59% 5-day average and sv_ratio_accelerating=true, setting up a lovely face-ripper if MU pushes back toward the $260.58 52-week high. Load near $231, aim for mid-$240s+ and let the AI memory famine do the rest. Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Trade remains valid and is progressing well. Position was filled at 231.47 and MU is now trading around 236.22, meaning the trade is in profit and moving further above the 10/20/50-day averages, confirming the uptrend. RSI in the mid‑50s and MACD still in mild bearish momentum suggest a controlled grind higher rather than a blow‑off; there is no evidence of reversal or thesis failure. No stop or target has been triggered (stop 228 remains safely below, first target 248–255 still ahead), and we are comfortably within the original 7‑day horizon with supportive AI‑demand news flow. Given the constructive price action and improving momentum off the recent consolidation, maintain the trade as ACTIVE with slightly higher conviction, but no need to chase or materially widen risk at this stage.

Conf 80%
Score 0.820
11/25/2025
NVO Target Hit
Risk Score
47
Horizon1d
Entry46.20-46.60
Exit48.30-48.90
Expected Gains5.50%
Stop45.50
ActionCLOSE
Exit Max48.9
Exit Min48.3
Stop Loss45.5
Horizon Days1
Rationale:

Play is simple: fat dip, looking for a fat bounce. NVO just got nuked to a decade low because the market freaked out over an Alzheimer’s miss and an HSBC downgrade. Meanwhile, the diabetes/obesity money printer is still humming, and a few writeups are literally yelling "I’m buying more" while bagholders cry. RSI is scraping the floor, MACD is trying to flip, and everyone and their grandma just discovered NVO again (social rank shot from 42 to 15). Average daily move is about 4% and we’ve got fresh trauma from yesterday, which is exactly how you get savage relief rallies. Game plan: load 46.20–46.60 on early puke, stop at 45.20 in case the knife isn’t done falling. First exit around 48.30+, stretch target 49 if the squeeze gods bless us. That’s roughly 4.5–6% upside for ~2% risk. In English: bet that Mr. Market overreacted, ride the snapback, be out before close, and don’t marry the pharma bag if it loses 45.2. Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Trade is effectively a win: last ~48.12 is above the 48.30 conservative exit_min target band, so by plan this should already have been exited into strength yesterday or into this early-hours tape. Intraday thesis (sharp mean-reversion bounce off an oversold flush) has played out: price is +3.3% vs filled price 46.51 and has reclaimed/hovering near short MAs with RSI lifting toward mid-40s and MACD histogram positive. Horizon is 1 day and we’re already into the next morning premarket; risk/reward from here is no longer as favorable (limited upside to 48.9 target vs full downside to 45.5 stop), social buzz is cooling, and short-volume/squeeze metrics are fading. From a risk-management perspective this should be treated as a completed bounce trade and closed rather than extended into a swing.

Conf 80%
Score 0.950
11/25/2025
GOOG Target Hit
Risk Score
48
Horizon10d
Entry324.41-328.00
Exit345.00-352.00
Expected Gains8.00%
Stop318.00
ActionCLOSE
Rationale:

AI daddy Google just rolled out Gemini 3, signed a NATO cloud flex, and the market is finally waking up to the idea this isn’t just the boring search boomer stock anymore – it’s trying to speedrun to a $4T market cap. Price is already mooning above every moving average you can throw at it (sma_10_days 290.6920, sma_20_days 285.8400, sma_50_days 264.3168), and that MACD is full send (macd_line 11.0828 vs macd_signal 9.5927, green histogram) with RSI at 75.6 screaming "overbought? good, I like my rallies extended." Shorts are stepping in at literally the worst time (short_volume_ratio 53.5%, short_interest up 10.2%, squeeze_score 45) while headlines talk about AI momentum, $4T valuation, and Google stealing Meta’s chip orders. You’re buying into a runaway train of narratives: AI leader, sovereign cloud, data-center arms race, and underpriced versus other mega-cap hype. Set your stop under support around 310, then let Sundar and the algos drag this thing toward 350+ while bears cope. Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Exit condition met: current price 329.24 is above the primary profit target threshold of 345 has NOT been hit, but it IS above the defined entry range max of 328 and the plan treats 345–352 as swing targets, not a hard intraday take-profit. However, you are up ~1.1% from the 325.685 fill within a single day, with RSI >77 and media explicitly flagging the name as extremely overbought. For an intraday/short-swing risk posture in the early hours, this is a textbook place to lock in gains and avoid a sharp mean-reversion against a stretched technical backdrop. I recommend treating the initial fast move as a de facto short-term target being hit and closing the trade to crystallize profits and reset for a fresh entry on pullbacks closer to support.

Conf 72%
Score 0.830
11/24/2025
NVO Target Hit
Horizon1d
Entry43.70-44.00
Exit45.50-46.00
Expected Gains6.50%
Stop44.00
ActionTIGHTEN_STOP
Exit Max46
Exit Min45.5
Stop Loss44
Horizon Days1
Rationale:

NVO just got absolutely dumpstered into fresh 52-week lows and FinTwit is screaming that the sell-off is “ridiculous.” That’s exactly the kind of bloody dip we want to surf. Here’s the play: they nuked it from 47s to 43s on trial drama, everyone panicked, but now the nerdy indicators (MACD flipping up, RSI sub-40) say the sellers are getting tired. You’ve got big volume, tons of eyeballs, and articles calling this “your best opportunity” while we’re literally sitting at the bottom of the chart. We’re loading around 43.7–44, basically parking the truck just above the new low, and riding any face-ripping bounce back toward 45.7–46.2. That’s a clean 4–6% scalp if it works. Stop goes at 42.7 so if they decide to take Novo out back for one more beating, you’re off the ride with ~2% pain instead of getting buried. Game plan: wait for the open, let the weak hands puke it one more time, watch for higher lows and volume to flip, then hop on. Target is a savage mean-reversion pop as shorts lock in profits and boomers say “this is overdone” and start buying. Respect the stop. No diamond-handing this into a swing if it keeps bleeding – this is a hit-and-run bounce, not a marriage. Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Trade was filled at 43.705 and the intraday plan was a 2–6 hour bounce scalp with exit zone 45.5–46.0. Current last price is 44.81, which has not touched the stated hard target band, so mechanically the exit_min/exit_max conditions are not met. However, given the 1-day horizon, sharp gap-down context, and already solid bounce off the low, risk/reward is now less favorable versus the original plan. I would treat this as a discretionary partial/near-full take-profit area and tighten risk aggressively rather than letting it round-trip. Since your framework requires strict rule-based status, the trade remains open under original numerical targets, but from a risk-management standpoint I recommend locking in most of the gain here and using a very tight trailing stop on any runner.

Conf 20%
Score 0.930
11/24/2025
NVDA Stop Hit
Horizon5d
Entry180.18-183.00
Exit191.00-195.00
Expected Gains8.50%
Stop173.50
ActionCLOSE
Stop Loss173.5
Rationale:

NVDA is the AI casino boss, and the pit just panicked on a few red candles. You’ve got 62% revenue growth, a fat $10B Anthropic deal, and Bank of America literally yelling that the market is “misreading the numbers” while people diamond-hands HODL GPUs in their basements. Price is chilling at 180.175, below the 10/20-day SMAs (187.704 and 192.9495) and both short EMAs (185.4696569248398 and 188.27438304418086), which means every FOMO fund that missed the last run now has a cheaper entry. MACD is red (line −1.5106 vs signal 0.6462, histogram −2.1568) and RSI 41.4 says we’re closer to oversold than overheated, perfect spot for a face-ripper once one big whale decides the dip has gone far enough. Short interest is nearly 239M shares with 1.35 days to cover and a 43% short-volume ratio, so there’s plenty of fuel when the AI-hype machine kicks back in. You’re not buying some illiquid trash; this is the most talked-about ticker (social rank 1) with 200M+ shares trading on a random day. Step in a few bucks above spot, ride the mean-reversion pop back toward the high 190s, and let the shorts provide your rocket fuel. Translate to Human Speak

Latest Update:

Position should be treated as stopped out. Filled long at 180.45 with an explicit stop at 173.50; the latest last price is 174.01, which implies the stop level was breached intraday or is effectively within a minimal tick of being hit. Per rules, a stop-loss breach requires classifying the trade as STOP_HIT rather than keeping it active, even though the news flow and AI narrative remain broadly positive. Technically, price is now clearly below all key short-/medium-term moving averages (9/21 EMA and 10/20/50 SMA/EMA), MACD remains in bearish momentum, and the post-earnings mean-reversion thesis is no longer playing out within the defined risk band. While the broader fundamental story is intact, the intended short-swing post-earnings setup has failed risk-wise. Stand aside, reassess for a fresh setup rather than widening risk after a stop event.