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DG

Active - Profit/Loss: 3.55%
Dollar General Corp.
Recommendation Date: 12/05/2025
Trade Plan
Risk Score
48
Entry $127.71-$129.50
Exit $137.00-$137.00
Stop Loss $121.50
Horizon 7d
Original Confidence 82%
Score 0.950

Evidence
Price at Pick:$127.71
Prior Close:$125.29
MACD Value:3.277638
MACD Signal:1.406668
MACD Histogram:1.870970
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$122.00
Resistance Est:$138.00
Current Quote
Price
Change
Open
Volume
Rationale

Dollar General just nuked the bears: 31.5% operating profit jump, 43.8% net income rip, and a guidance raise while the stock yeets to fresh 52‑week highs. Price is 127.71 sitting miles above every moving average (10‑day SMA 108.08, 20‑day 104.96, 50‑day 102.94) with a juiced MACD (3.28 vs 1.41 signal) and a fat 1.87 histogram screaming full send. RSI at 82.38? That’s not overbought, that’s over‑owned – everyone who shorted the dollar store recession trade is getting margin‑called. Shorts are still stubborn with 11.64M shares short, 4.02 days‑to‑cover, and an elevated short‑volume ratio north of 56%, but the squeeze_score is 65 and the ratio is rolling over, meaning ammo for a grind‑up as they tap out one by one. You’re buying a guidance‑raised earnings monster at all‑time highs while the crowd still doubts it. Set a stop just under 122, aim for high‑130s in a week, and let Todd Vasos pay for your holiday shopping.
Risk Analysis
Entry range includes current price; plan is a post-earnings momentum swing with raised guidance. Key risks: very high RSI (82), event-driven volatility (earnings yesterday), and elevated short interest which can both amplify moves and create whipsaws.
Updates
No Updates Available.
Active Tracking
12/05/2025 10:49 PM
Active
$132.57 (3.08%)
12/05/2025 10:48 PM
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12/05/2025 10:47 PM
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12/05/2025 10:46 PM
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12/05/2025 09:40 AM
Entered
$128.02 (-0.46%)
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