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MRVL

Active - Profit/Loss: -3.38%
Marvell Technology, Inc. Common Stock
Recommendation Date: 12/03/2025
Trade Plan
Risk Score
49
Entry $98.62-$102.00
Exit $110.00-$110.00
Stop Loss $93.50
Horizon 10d
Original Confidence 82%
Score 0.940

Evidence
Price at Pick:$98.62
Prior Close:$92.89
MACD Value:0.624954
MACD Signal:-0.178362
MACD Histogram:0.803316
Trend:Bullish Momentum
Support Est:$86.50
Resistance Est:$102.00
Current Quote
Price
Change
Open
Volume
Rationale

MRVL just ripped off an earnings nuke and stapled a $5B+ Celestial AI deal on top, and the chart looks like it finally drank the same AI Kool‑Aid as NVDA. You’ve got price at 98.615 blasting miles above the dusty boomer averages (sma_10_days 84.24599999999999, sma_20_days 86.82550000000006, ema_9_days 87.47192057144675), and MACD is screaming green (macd_line 0.624953616623074 vs macd_signal -0.178362175494968, histogram 0.803315792118042, state “bullish_momentum”). RSI 60.01414923895407 says we’re in beast mode but not meme‑top yet. News feed is pure AI copium – “Next AI Infrastructure Cornerstone,” Q3 beat, Celestial AI solving data‑center bottlenecks – all the buzzwords hedgies FOMO into. Social mentions ranking jumping from 59 to 5 means the crowd just woke up and is piling in. Shorts aren’t crazy elevated (days_to_cover 2.29, squeeze_score 25), so this is less YOLO squeeze and more real money rotation. Buy the breakout above 98.6, aim for 110+ while the AI hype train is still loading passengers, cut it under 93.5 if the algos rug you.
Risk Analysis
Entry range (98.62–102) includes current price (100.075). Stop (93.5) is below current price and ~1.21 ATR (ATR14 5.4179), which is a moderate technical buffer. Earnings occurred 2025-12-02 (1 day prior) — high proximity to a post-earnings move. Exit targets (110–114) imply ~10–14% upside over a 10-day horizon; given ATR (~5.4) this is ambitious but not impossible. Liquidity snapshot shows visible bid/ask sizes but no avg daily volume provided. Technicals and sentiment are positive per rationale, but volatility from the earnings + high ATR increases short-term risk.
Updates
No Updates Available.
Active Tracking
12/05/2025 11:29 PM
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12/03/2025 09:40 AM
Entered
$98.69 (-1.62%)
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