Synopsys offers a cleaner, more asymmetric intraday long than the other candidates given its technical setup and news context, even though the Nvidia-specific deal is only indirectly referenced in this pack. 1) Price/action & volatility: - Last trade ~445.61, already +4.85% vs prior close 438.29, showing strong demand. - ATR(14) ≈ 16.51 (~3.7% of price), so a 4–5% intraday move is well within normal volatility. - Proposed entry 444.5–447 is around the current quote, giving realistic fills. 2) Required upside math: - Upside from entry floor: exit_min 463 vs entry_min 444.5 = 18.5 points. - 18.5 / 444.5 ≈ 4.16% upside, satisfying the ≥4–5% profit target. - Exit_max 470 gives 470 – 444.5 = 25.5 points (~5.74%) as a stretch target. - Downside: stop 435 vs entry_min 444.5 = 9.5 points (~2.14%) risk, giving a reward:risk of roughly 1.9–2.7:1 depending on where you exit in the range. 3) Technicals: - Price (445.6) is well above short-term trend: EMA 9 ≈ 409.8, EMA 21 ≈ 412.3, indicating a strong upside momentum burst. - MACD line -8.29 vs signal -15.36 with a positive histogram of +7.07 and state tagged as “bullish_momentum” – this is a classic MACD inflection from negative toward zero, often associated with continuation pushes on the next session(s). - RSI ~59.7 is bullish but not overbought, leaving room for further intraday extension before exhaustion. - 50-day EMA/SMA ~440.6–440.9: price is reclaiming and holding above this medium-term trend band, often a trigger zone for trend-followers. 4) Sentiment/positioning: - Short-interest days-to-cover ≈ 1.65 – not a squeeze setup, but short-volume ratio has spiked to ~59.35% vs a 5-day average ~47.27% and is flagged as rising and elevated. This indicates active shorting into the recent bounce; if the stock holds above the 50-day and buyers stay aggressive, shorts may be forced to cover intraday, adding fuel toward the 463–470 band. 5) News/catalyst context (same-day, stock-specific): - "Company News for Dec 2, 2025" (Yahoo) explicitly includes SNPS among notable names for the day, which tends to draw incremental attention and liquidity. - "Software firm Vinci, which speeds up hardware simulation, raises $36 million" (Yahoo) mentions Synopsys as an incumbent competitor in chip-design software. While this is not a direct upgrade, it frames Synopsys as the established player in a hot AI-driven EDA niche, which can support sentiment for the sector leader on a day when risk appetite is returning. - Broader macro tone is risk-on per "Stock Index Futures Gain as Investors Recover Risk Appetite" (Yahoo), with SNPS named in the context of rising futures; this supports tech and AI-related software flows. 6) Trade structure & intraday plan: - Bias: Long only. - Entry: 444.5–447 shortly after open, ideally on a modest pullback toward VWAP or on a reclaim of that range after the first 10–20 minutes. - Profit-taking: Scale out from ~463 up to 470 if momentum and volume remain above average and the broader Nasdaq stays firm. - Stop: 435 (just under ATR-sized wiggle from entry and meaningfully below 50-day area ~440), cutting the trade if the stock loses its reclaim of the 50-day and breaks down. - Time horizon: 3–6 hours intraday, fully flat by the close. 7) Options (optional, higher risk): - Given the high share price and decent ATR, aggressive traders could use near-the-money same-week calls, but these will be very sensitive to intraday swings and decay. For risk control and simplicity, common shares are preferred for this plan. Overall, the combination of a strong MACD turn, reclaim of the 50-day trend, elevated but not extreme short activity, and supportive sector/macro news justifies a 4–6% upside window with controlled downside on an intraday basis, warranting ~78% confidence.

Entry band (444.5–447) sits slightly below the last trade (447.455), which may make fills at the specified entry_max unrealistic without paying up. Trade otherwise has moderate intraday volatility (ATR ~15.63, ~3.5% of price) and supportive news/sentiment, but elevated short-volume activity increases structural volatility risk.