TendieTensor TendieTensor
You’re browsing as
Guest
Free Preview
Sign in/sign up to unlock all features.

MU

Expired - Profit/Loss: 0.24%
Micron Technology, Inc.
Recommendation Date: 11/26/2025 Update: 11/28/2025 11:33 AM (17 updates)
Trade Plan
Risk Score
61
Entry $231.13-$236.00
Exit $248.00-$248.00
Stop Loss $228.00
Horizon 7d
Original Confidence 90%
Updated Confidence 90%
Score 0.940

Evidence
Price at Pick:$231.13
Prior Close:$224.53
MACD Value:4.505622
MACD Signal:9.039188
MACD Histogram:-4.533567
Trend:Bearish Momentum
Support Est:$204.00
Resistance Est:$260.58
Current Quote
Price
Change
Open
Volume
Rationale

Memory king MU is literally getting showered with AI tendies forecasts while the chart is just catching its breath. Morgan Stanley just crowned it their “Top Pick,” blasted the price target to $338, and is screaming about "intensifying shortages across the board" in memory. Citi’s still in the bull camp at $275, and MU keeps popping up on every “Hot AI Stocks” and “Best Growth Stocks” list like the teacher’s pet of the semiconductor classroom. Meanwhile the stock is chilling at $231.13, miles above its 50-day EMA at 203.83 and 50-day SMA at 204.0004, which means the trend is your friend and the friend is rich. MACD histogram is red and ugly (-4.53, bearish_momentum), which here just means we’re buying the dip while everyone else second-guesses a monster AI-cycle uptrend. Shorts are creeping in with si_rising=true and short_volume_ratio ramping to 44.08% versus a 36.59% 5-day average and sv_ratio_accelerating=true, setting up a lovely face-ripper if MU pushes back toward the $260.58 52-week high. Load near $231, aim for mid-$240s+ and let the AI memory famine do the rest.
Risk Analysis
Range checks: current last_trade_price 229.87 vs entry_min 231.13 — entry is slightly above market (requires buy-on-breakout or small gap up). Stop at 221 is ~3.9% below current and ~0.51 ATR (ATR14 17.4657) — stop is inside 1 ATR which increases stop-hit probability given current volatility. No upcoming earnings listed in the provided earningsCalendar. Positive analyst catalyst and short-volume acceleration are noted, which can increase intraday/near-term volatility. Displayed bid/ask sizes are modest in the snapshot (bid_size 101 / ask_size 520) — use caution on fills and slippage for larger sizes.
Updates
11/28/2025 11:33 AM
Hold
Exit Max: 255 Exit Min: 248 Stop Loss: 228 Horizon Days: 7
MACD still in bearish-momentum regime; trend continuation not yet fully confirmed Short-interest trend rising, which can add volatility even if ultimately supportive Price has moved quickly off entry; avoid moving stop up too aggressively to prevent whipsaw
Trade remains valid and is progressing well. Position was filled at 231.47 and MU is now trading around 236.22, meaning the trade is in profit and moving further above the 10/20/50-day averages, confirming the uptrend. RSI in the mid‑50s and MACD still in mild bearish momentum suggest a controlled grind higher rather than a blow‑off; there is no evidence of reversal or thesis failure. No stop or target has been triggered (stop 228 remains safely below, first target 248–255 still ahead), and we are comfortably within the original 7‑day horizon with supportive AI‑demand news flow. Given the constructive price action and improving momentum off the recent consolidation, maintain the trade as ACTIVE with slightly higher conviction, but no need to chase or materially widen risk at this stage.
Confidence 90%
11/28/2025 10:33 AM
Hold
Exit Max: 255 Exit Min: 248 Stop Loss: 228 Horizon Days: 7
MACD still in bearish_momentum (though improving); momentum could stall below target zone Short-interest trend rising but no near-term squeeze setup (low squeeze score), can add volatility Position is extended vs 50-day averages; a fast reversal could test the 228 stop before targets
Trade remains active and on track. Price at ~234.09 is above the 231.47 fill and comfortably within the planned entry band, trending higher with RSI mid-50s and MACD still in mild bearish digestion, which fits the original pullback-buy thesis. No stop-loss (228) or target (248–255) has been hit, and the 7-day horizon from 2025-11-26 has not expired. News and social trends remain supportive of the AI/memory bull thesis, and there is no clear invalidation signal in the provided data. Given the quick move off entry but no test of targets yet, risk/reward is still favorable; maintain the position and monitor for a push toward the 248–255 target zone.
Confidence 88%
11/28/2025 09:32 AM
Hold
Exit Max: 255 Exit Min: 248 Stop Loss: 228 Horizon Days: 7
price_above_entry_but_below_target macd_still_bearish_momentum short_interest_rising short_squeeze_score_low_moderate
Trade remains valid and is working: price is above entry ($234.36 vs $231.47 fill) and well above the $228 stop, with no technical or news-based invalidation. RSI has nudged up to ~54, still far from overbought, and MACD remains in mild bearish digestion but with price holding above short- and medium-term averages (sma10, sma20) and far above the 50-day trend, consistent with a healthy uptrend consolidation. Fresh positive AI-demand news, higher social-media attention, and still-rising but manageable short interest continue to support the squeeze/continuation thesis. No rule-based exits are triggered (no stop-loss breach, no target hit, and horizon still within 7 days from 2025-11-26), so the position should remain active. Given the constructive follow-through above entry and stronger tape, confidence is slightly increased. Keeping the original stop and targets is reasonable as the risk/reward remains attractive and volatility does not justify widening levels.
Confidence 90%
11/28/2025 08:32 AM
Hold
Exit Max: 255 Exit Min: 248 Stop Loss: 228 Horizon Days: 7
price_above_entry approaching_target_zone macd_bearish_momentum_persists short_interest_rising_but_not_extreme
Trade remains active and on-plan. Price at ~236.50 is above entry, below the first target zone, and well above the 228 stop. Trend and structure remain constructive: price is riding above short- and medium-term SMAs/EMAs with RSI in the mid-50s and MACD still in mild bearish-momentum digestion, consistent with a controlled consolidation after the recent run and upgrade-driven strength. No evidence yet of thesis breakdown or news reversal; AI-memory narrative and positive coverage remain intact. Given the fast move from ~231 entry toward the upper half of the initial range, risk/reward is slightly less asymmetric than at entry, so confidence is trimmed modestly but still high. Maintain original stop and targets for now and monitor intraday for any sharp rejection spikes near 248–250.
Confidence 88%
11/28/2025 07:32 AM
Tighten Stop
Exit Max: 255 Exit Min: 248 Stop Loss: 228 Horizon Days: 7
GAP_RISK_PREMARKET MOMENTUM_DIGESTION_MACD_NEGATIVE ELEVATED_TREND_EXTENSION_ABOVE_MA SHORT_INTEREST_RISING_BUT_NOT_EXTREME
Trade remains active and healthy. Price has moved from the 231.47 fill to ~237.46, tracking cleanly toward the 248–255 target band with the broader AI/memory thesis fully intact and supported by continued positive coverage. No stop (225) or target (248–255) levels have been touched, and horizon (7 days from 2025-11-26) has not expired. Technically, MU is holding well above all key moving averages (sma20, sma50, ema21, ema50), indicating a strong uptrend with a modest MACD bearish-momentum digestion that is normal after the prior run. RSI in the mid-50s suggests there is still room for upside before overbought risk becomes acute. Short-interest metrics are stable-to-rising but not at squeeze extremes, which is additive, not threatening. Given the swift move in our favor and the strong catalyst/technicals alignment, the risk-reward is still attractive, but we should begin protecting gains in case of a sharp reversal.
Confidence 90%
Active Tracking
12/04/2025 12:00 AM
Exited: Expired
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:59 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:58 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:57 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:56 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:55 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:54 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:53 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:52 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:51 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:50 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:49 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:48 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:47 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:46 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:45 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:44 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:43 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:42 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:41 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
12/03/2025 11:40 PM
Active
$232.03 (-0.66%)
11/26/2025 09:41 AM
Entered
$231.47 (-0.90%)
Related News